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School of Economics and Finance

No. 915: Unemployment, Firm Dynamics, and the Business Cycle

Andrea Colciago , De Nederlandsche Bank and University of Milano Bicocca
Stefano Fasani , Queen Mary University of London
Lorenza Rossi , University of Pavia

October 22, 2020

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Abstract

We formulate and estimate a business cycle model which can account for key business cycle properties of labor market variables and other aggregates. Three features distinguish our model from the standard model with Search And Matching (SAM) frictions in the labor market: frictional firm entry, endogenous product variety, and investment in two assets: stocks and physical capital. Our model with firm dynamics displays an endogenous form of wage moderation. Thanks to the latter, it outperforms the SAM framework augmented with exogenous real wage rigidities.

J.E.L classification codes: C5, E32

Keywords:Entry, Unemployment, Bayesian Analysis, Search and Matching

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