School of Politics and International Relations

Labour’s London lead is halved as it’s all to play for in capital

6 November 2019

Jeremy Corbyn’s lead in the vital London battleground has been halved since the general election in 2017, putting half a dozen key Labour seats at risk on December 12, an exclusive poll reveals today. Professor of Politics, Professor Philip Cowley said a striking feature of the poll was a marked fall in Labour’s support in inner London, a heartland. He cautioned against making firm seat-by-seat predictions based on the swing in such a volatile election, but said Labour looked likely to lose seats. Professor Cowley said: “Compared to the position in 2017, these figures mean a fall of 16 points in the Labour share of the vote and just a four point drop in the Conservative share. In practice, assuming no change by polling day, this would almost certainly mean seats being lost by Labour and gained by the Conservatives.”
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