Professor Martin NeilProfessor of Computer Science and StatisticsEmail: m.neil@qmul.ac.ukRoom Number: Peter Landin, CS 439Website: http://www.eecs.qmul.ac.uk/~martinTeachingResearchPublicationsTeachingBayesian Decision and Risk Analysis (Postgraduate)The module will cover: Introduction to information systems; Types of information system; Uses of Information systems; Information systems in e-commerce and e-business; Information system design and development; Case studies of business information systems; The human factor in information systems; Legal and ethical issues in Information systems.Bayesian Decision and Risk Analysis (Undergraduate)The role of software is increasingly critical in our everyday lives and the accompanying risks of business or safety critical systems failure can be profound. This module will provide you with a framework for articulating and managing the risks inherent in the systems you will develop as a practitioner. Likewise, you will learn how to build decision-support tools for uncertain problems in a variety of contexts (legal, medical, safety), but with a special emphasis on software development. This module will make a distinctive offering that will enable you to bring a principled approach to bear to analysing and solving uncertain and risky problems. Module contents: Quantification of risk and assessment: Bayesian Probability and Utility Theory, Bayes Theorem and Bayesian updating; Causal modelling using Bayesian networks with examples; Measurement for risk: Principles of measurement, Software metrics, Introduction to multi-criteria decision aids; Principles of risk management: The risk life-cycle, Fault trees, Hazard analysis; Building causal models in practice: Patterns, identification, model reuse and composition, Eliciting and building probability tables; Real world examples; Decision support environments.ResearchResearch Interests:Please consult my homepage, here: Prof. Martin Neil.Publications Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE et al. (2024). The effect of risk communication on consumers’ risk perception, risk tolerance and utility of smart and non-smart home appliances. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2024.106464 QMRO: qmroHref Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE (2024). A hybrid Bayesian network for medical device risk assessment and management. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109630 QMRO: qmroHref McLachlan S, Daley B, Saidi S et al. (2024). Approach and Method for Bayesian Network Modelling: The Case for Pregnancy Outcomes in England and Wales. Proceedings of the 17th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies DOI: 10.5220/0012428600003657 QMRO: qmroHref Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N et al. (2022). Region‐based estimation of the partition functions for hybrid Bayesian network models. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1002/int.22973 QMRO: qmroHref Mclachlan S, Neil M, Dube K et al. (2022). Smart automotive technology adherence to the law: (de)constructing road rules for autonomous system development, verification and safety. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1093/ijlit/eaac002 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78038 Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE (2022). A causal Bayesian network approach for consumer product safety and risk assessment.. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.12.003 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/72580 Hunte JL, Neil M, Fenton NE (2022). A causal Bayesian network approach for consumer product safety and risk assessment. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.12.003 QMRO: qmroHref Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N (2021). A Study of Using Bethe/Kikuchi Approximation for Learning Directed Graphic Models. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/access.2021.3110956 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/73991 Neil M, Fenton N (2021). Bayesian Hypothesis Testing and Hierarchical Modeling of Ivermectin Effectiveness.. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1097/MJT.0000000000001450 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/74203 Neil M (2021). Positive results from UK single gene testing for SARS-COV-2 may be inconclusive, negative or detecting past infections. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/75402 Mclachlan S, Paterson H, Dube K et al. (2020). Real-time Online Probabilistic Medical Computation using Bayesian Networks. 2020 IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI) DOI: 10.1109/ichi48887.2020.9374378 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65191 Osman M, meder B, Fenton N et al. (2020). Learning from behavioural changes that fail. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2020.09.009 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/67560 Lin P, Neil M, Fenton N (publicationYear). Improved High Dimensional Discrete Bayesian Network Inference using Triplet Region Construction. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1613/jair.1.12198 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/75401 Kyrimi E, Raniere Neves M, Mclachlan S et al. (2020). Medical idioms for clinical Bayesian network development. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103495 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65612 Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2020). Bayesian Network Analysis of Covid-19 data reveals higher Infection Prevalence Rates and lower Fatality Rates than widely reported. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1101/2020.05.25.20112466 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/66948 Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2020). Bayesian network analysis of Covid-19 data reveals higher infection prevalence rates and lower fatality rates than widely reported. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1778771 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/65935 Fenton N, Osman M, Mclachlan S et al. (2020). COVID-19 infection and death rates: the need to incorporate causal explanations for the data and avoid bias in testing. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1756381 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/64082 Fenton N, Neil M, Constantinou A (2020). The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect, Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie, Basic Books (2018). nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.artint.2020.103286 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/66336 Wang J, Neil M, Fenton N (2019). A Bayesian network approach for cybersecurity risk assessment implementing and extending the FAIR model. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.cose.2019.101659 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/61864 Fenton N, Lagnado D, Dahlman C et al. (2019). The Opportunity Prior: A proof-based prior for criminal cases. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1093/lpr/mgz007 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/57766 Neil M, Fenton N, Osman M et al. (2019). Causality, the critical but often ignored component guiding us through a world of uncertainties in risk assessment. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2019.1604564 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/59224 Neil M, Fenton N, Lagnado D et al. (2019). Modelling competing legal arguments using Bayesian model comparison and averaging. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/s10506-019-09250-3 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/56313 Fenton N, Neil M, Yet B et al. (2020). Analyzing the Simonshaven Case Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1111/tops.12417 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/55286 FENTON NE, NEIL M, NOGUCHI T (2019). An extension to the noisy-OR function to resolve the ‘explaining away’ deficiency for practical Bayesian network problem. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2019.2891680 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/54988 FENTON NE, NOGUCHI T, NEIL M (2018). Addressing the Practical Limitations of Noisy-OR using Conditional Inter-causal Anti-Correlation with Ranked Nodes. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2018.2873314 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/49410 Fenton N, Neil M (publicationYear). Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1201/b21982 QMRO: qmroHref OSMAN M, FENTON NE, Pilditch T et al. (2018). Who do we trust on social policy interventions. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/01973533.2018.1469986 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/45624 Osman M, Fenton N, Pilditch T et al. (2018). Whom Do We Trust on Social Policy Interventions?. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/01973533.2018.1469986 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/43545 Fenton N, Neil M (2018). Improving Software Testing with Causal Modeling. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1002/9781119357056.ch2 QMRO: qmroHref YET B, NEIL M, FENTON N et al. (2018). An Improved Method for Solving Hybrid Influence Diagrams. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2018.01.006 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32419 FENTON NE, NEIL M (2018). Lawnmowers versus terrorists: A highly misleading view of risk. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2018.01104.x QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32903 Yet B, Constantinou A, Fenton N et al. (2018). Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information in Hybrid Models Using Dynamic Discretization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/access.2018.2799527 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32418 FENTON NE, NEIL M (2018). Are lawnmowers a greater risk than terrorists?. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/32843 FENTON NE, Lagnado D, Dahlman C et al. (2017). The Opportunity Prior: A Simple and Practical Solution to the Prior Probability Problem for Legal Cases. International Conference on AI and the Law (ICAIL 17) DOI: 10.1145/3086512.3086519 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/22709 Neil M, Fenton N (publicationYear). Risk Management Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1002/9781118445112.stat07943 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M, Lagnado D et al. (2016). How to model mutually exclusive events based on independent causal pathways in Bayesian network models. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2016.09.012 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/15923 Yet B, CONSTANTINOU AC, Fenton N et al. (2016). A Bayesian Network Framework for Project Cost, Benefit and Risk Analysis with an Agricultural Development Case Study. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2016.05.005 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12375 CONSTANTINOU AC, FENTON N, NEIL M (2016). Integrating expert knowledge with data in Bayesian networks: Preserving data-driven expectations when the expert variables remain unobserved. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2016.02.050 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/11586 FENTON NE, neil M, Berger D (2016). Bayes and the Law. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1146/annurev-statistics-041715-033428 QMRO: https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12068 Constantinou AC, Yet B, Fenton N et al. (2015). Value of information analysis for interventional and counterfactual Bayesian networks in forensic medical sciences. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2015.09.002 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10760 FENTON NE, Zhou Y, Hospedales T et al. (2015). Probabilistic Graphical Models Parameter Learning with Transferred Prior and Constraints. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence DOI: doi QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10816 Zhou Y, Fenton N, Hospedales TM et al. (2015). Probabilistic graphical models parameter learning with transferred prior and constraints. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/31981 Lin P, Neil M, Fenton NE (2014). Risk Aggregation in the presence of Discrete Causally Connected Random Variables. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1017/S1748499514000098 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10752 Fenton N, Lagnado D, Hsu A et al. (2014). Response to "on the use of the likelihood ratio for forensic evaluation: response to Fenton et al.".. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.scijus.2014.05.005 QMRO: qmroHref Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M (2014). An Extended MPL-C Model for Bayesian Network Parameter Learning with Exterior Constraints. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-11433-0_38 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/12047 Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M (2014). Bayesian network approach to multinomial parameter learning using data and expert judgments. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2014.02.008 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2014). Decision Support Software for Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/MS.2014.32 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7248 Fenton NE, Neil M, Hsu A (2013). Calculating and understanding the value of any type of match evidence when there are potential testing errors. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/s10506-013-9147-x QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7249 FENTON NE, Neil M, Lagnado D (2013). A General Structure for Legal Arguments About Evidence Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1111/cogs.12004 QMRO: qmroHref Langseth H, Marquez D, Neil M (2013). Fast Approximate Inference in Hybrid Bayesian Networks Using Dynamic Discretisation. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-38637-4_23 QMRO: qmroHref Zhou Y, Fenton N, Neil M et al. (2013). Incorporating Expert Judgement into Bayesian Network Machine Learning. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Constantinou AC, Fenton NE, Neil M (2013). Profiting from an inefficient association football gambling market: Prediction, risk and uncertainty using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2013.05.008 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10778 Fenton N, Berger D, Lagnado D et al. (2013). When 'neutral' evidence still has probative value (with implications from the Barry George Case). nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.scijus.2013.07.002 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/7866 Constantinou A, FENTON NE, Neil M (2012). pi-football: A Bayesian network model for forecasting Association Football match outcomes. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2012.07.008 QMRO: https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/10780 Neil M, Chen X, Fenton NE (2012). Optimizing the Calculation of Conditional Probability Tables in Hybrid Bayesian Networks using Binary Factorization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2011.87 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Marquez D (2012). Availability modelling of repairable systems using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.engappai.2010.06.003 QMRO: qmroHref FENTON NE, Lagnado D, Neil M (2012). Legal idioms: a framework for evidential reasoning. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1080/19462166.2012.682656 QMRO: qmroHref FENTON NE, Neil M (2012). Risk Assessment with Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref FENTON NE, Neil M (2011). Avoiding Legal Fallacies in Practice Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref FENTON NE, Neil M (2011). The use of Bayes' and causal modelling in decision making, uncertainty and risk. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M (2010). Comparing risks of alternative medical diagnosis using Bayesian arguments.. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2010.02.004 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Marquez D, Fenton N (2010). Improved Reliability Modeling using Bayesian Networks and Dynamic Discretization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.012 QMRO: qmroHref Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2010). Improved reliability modeling using Bayesian networks and dynamic discretization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.012 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Hearty P, Neil M et al. (2010). Software project and quality modelling using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.4018/978-1-60566-758-4 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Marquez D (2009). Dependability Modelling of Repairable Systems using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.3182/20090610-3-it-4004.00043 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Marquez D (2009). Dependability modelling of repairable systems using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.3182/20090610-3-it-4004.00043 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Hager D (2009). Modeling Operational Risk in Financial Institutions using Hybrid Dynamic Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.21314/jop.2009.057 QMRO: qmroHref Hearty P, Fenton N, Marquez D et al. (2009). Predicting Project Velocity in XP Using a Learning Dynamic Bayesian Network Model. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/TSE.2008.76 QMRO: qmroHref N Fenton MN, Radliński Ł (2009). Software Project and Quality Modelling Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.4018/978-1-60566-758-4.ch001 QMRO: qmroHref Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2008). Solving dynamic fault trees using a new hybrid Bayesian network inference algorithm. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/MED.2008.4602222 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2008). On the effectiveness of early life cycle defect prediction with Bayesian Nets. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/s10664-008-9072-x QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2008). Avoiding legal fallacies in practice using Bayesian networks. Seventh International Conference on Forensic Inference and Statistics DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D et al. (2008). Modelling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.009 QMRO: qmroHref Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton N (2008). Solving Dynamic Fault Trees using a New Hybrid Bayesian Network Inference Algorithm. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/MED.2008.4602222 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Marquez D, Fenton N (2008). Using Bayesian Networks to Model the Operational Risk to Information Technology Infrastructure in Financial Institutions. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref FENTON NE, Neil M, Marquez D (2008). Using Bayesian Networks to Predict Software Defects and Reliability. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1243/1748006XJRR161 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M, Caballero JG (2007). Using ranked nodes to model qualitative judgments in Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/TKDE.2007.1068 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D (2007). Inference in hybrid Bayesian networks using dynamic discretization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/s11222-007-9018-y QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE, Hearty P et al. (2007). Modelling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.009 QMRO: qmroHref Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton NE (2007). A new Bayesian Network approach to Reliability modelling. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Marquez D et al. (2007). Empirical Analysis of Software Defect Types. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Neil M et al. (2007). Improved Decision-Making for Software Managers Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Marquez D, Neil M, Fenton NE (2007). Improved Dynamic Fault Tree modelling using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Tailor M, Marquez D (2007). Inference in hybrid Bayesian networks using dynamic discretization. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/s11222-007-9018-y QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2007). Managing Risk in the Modern World: Bayesian Networks and the Applications. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Radliński Ł, Fenton NE, Neil M et al. (2007). Modelling Prior Productivity and Defect Rates in a Causal Model for Software Project Risk Assessment. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2007). Predicting software defects in varying development lifecycles using Bayesian nets. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.infsof.2006.09.001 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M, Marsh W et al. (2007). Project Data Incorporating Qualitative Factors for Improved Software Defect Prediction. ICSE PROMISE (Predictive Models in Software Engineering) 07 DOI: 10.1109/PROMISE.2007.11 QMRO: qmroHref Khodakarami V, Fenton N, Neil M (2007). Project Scheduling: Improved approach to incorporate uncertainty using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1177/875697280703800205 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Marquez D (2007). Using Bayesian Networks and Simulation for Data Fusion and Risk Analysis. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M, Gallan J (2007). Using Ranked nodes to model qualitative judgements in Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, MARSH DWR (2006). A Software Metrics Challenge: Data for Project Prediction. 29th International Conference on Software Engineering (ICSE 2007), Minneapolis, USA DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M (2006). Comment: Expert elicitation for reliable system design. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000529 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M (2006). Expert elicitation for reliable system design - Comment. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000510 QMRO: qmroHref Joseph A, Fenton NE, Neil M (2006). Predicting football results using Bayesian nets and other machine learning techniques. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2006.04.011 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Bache R (1993). Data linkage maps. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1002/smr.4360050304 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE (2006). AgenaRisk. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P et al. (2006). Bayesian networks for software process control. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2006). Expert Elicitation for Reliable System Design. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1214/088342306000000529 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Radlinski L, Neil M (2006). Improved Bayesian Networks for Software Project Risk Assessment Using Dynamic Discretisation. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-39388-9_14 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Tailor M, Fenton N et al. (2006). Modeling Dependable Systems using Hybrid Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/ARES.2006.83 QMRO: qmroHref Neill M, Tailor M, Marquez D et al. (2006). Modeling dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/ARES.2006.83 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE, Marsh W et al. (2006). Predicting Software Defects in Varying Development Lifecycles using Bayesian Nets. ICSE (International Conference on Software Engineering) 2006, May 20-28, 2006, Shanghai, China DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Tailor M (2005). Using Bayesian networks to model expected and unexpected operational losses. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00641.x QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2005). A Critique of Software Defect Prediction Models. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Hearty P, FENTON NE, Neil M et al. (2005). Automated population of causal models for improved software risk assessment. 20th IEEE/ACM International Conference on Automated Software Engineering DOI: 10.1145/1101908.1101990 QMRO: qmroHref NEIL MD, Fenton NE (2005). Improved Methods for building large-scale Bayesian Networks. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI) 2005, Edinburgh University DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref NEIL MD, Fenton NE (2005). Improved Software Defect Prediction. 10th European SEPG, London DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2004). Combining evidence in risk analysis using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Marsh W, Neil M et al. (2004). Making resource decisions for software projects. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/icse.2004.1317462 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE (2003). Improved Programme Selection. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref NEIL M, Fenton NE (2003). Improved programme selection.. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2003). Assessing Vehicle Reliability using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2003). Assessing vehicle reliability using Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Shaw R, Johnson S et al. (2003). Measuring & Managing Culturally Inspired Risk. 11th Safety-Critical Systems Symposium DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-0653-1_3 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Malcolm B, Shaw R (2003). Modeling an Air Traffic Control Environment Using Bayesian Belief Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P (2003). Software Quality Prediction Using Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4615-0429-0_6 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Krause P, Neil M (2002). Software measurement: Uncertainty and causal modeling. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/MS.2002.1020298 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Krause P, Neil M (2002). Probabilistic Modelling for Software Quality Control. nameOfConference DOI: 10.3166/jancl.12.173-188 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Neil M (2001). Making decisions: using Bayesian nets and MCDA. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/S0950-7051(00)00071-X QMRO: qmroHref Fenton N, Krause P, Neil M (2001). Probabilistic Modelling for Software Quality Control. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/3-540-44652-4_39 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Forey S et al. (2001). Using Bayesian belief networks to predict the reliability of military vehicles. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1049/cce:20010103 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, FENTON NE, Krause P (2001). Software Metrics: Uncertainty and causal Modelling. EuroSPI conference, Limerick Institute of Technology DOI: 10.1109/ms.2002.1020298 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Nielsen L (2000). Building large-scale Bayesian networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1017/S0269888900003039 QMRO: qmroHref Littlewood B, Strigini L, Wright D et al. (2000). Bayesian Belief Networks for Safety Assessment of Computer-based Systems. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). Bayesian belief nets: a causal model for predicting defect rates and resource requirements. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N, Nielsen L (2000). Building large-scale Bayesian Networks. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1017/S0269888900003039 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). Software metrics: roadmap. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1145/336512.336588 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (2000). The Jury Fallacy and the use of Bayesian nets to simplify probabilistic legal arguments. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (1999). A critique of software defect prediction models. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/32.815326 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (1999). Software metrics: successes, failures and new directions. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/S0164-1212(99)00035-7 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Neil M (1998). A strategy for improving safety related software engineering standards. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/32.730547 QMRO: qmroHref Fenton NE, Littlewood B, Neil M et al. (1998). Assessing dependability of safety critical systems using diverse evidence. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1049/ip-sen:19984895 QMRO: qmroHref Courtois PJ, Fenton NE, Littlewood B et al. (1998). Examination of bayesian belief network for safety assessment of nuclear computer-based systems. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Ostralenk G, Tobin M et al. (1998). Lessons from using Z to specify a software tool. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1109/32.663995 QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Fenton N (1996). Predicting Software Quality using Bayesian Belief Networks. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil M, Littlewood B, Fenton NE (1996). Applying Bayesian belief networks to systems dependability assessment. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-1480-2_5 QMRO: qmroHref Littlewood B, Neil M, Ostrolenk G (1996). The Role of Models in Managing Uncertainty of Software-Intensive Systems. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1016/0951-8320(95)00073-B QMRO: qmroHref Littlewood B, Neil M, Ostrolenk G (1996). Uncertainty in Software-Intensive Systems. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Bache RM, Neil MD (1995). Introducing Metrics into Industry: A Perspective on GQM. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD (1995). Statistical Control of Software Quality. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Ostrolenk G, Tobin M, Southworth M et al. (1994). Cost Effective Evaluation of a COBOL Parser Using an Operational Profile. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD (1994). Measurement as an alternative to Bureaucracy for the achievement of Software Quality. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1007/BF00213631 QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD, Bache RM (1994). Metrics Analysis. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD, Lano K (1993). Approaches to Maintenance Process Improvement via Measurement. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD, Bache RM (1993). Data Linkage Maps. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Woherem EE, Neil MD, Estdale JF (1993). Software Process Improvement through the GQM Approach: A Maintenance Case Study, Lake Tahoe, Nevada, USA. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD (1992). Multivariate Assessment of Software Products. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref Neil MD, Slater D, Cole RJ (1990). Measures for Maintenance Management: A Case Study. nameOfConference DOI: 10.1002/smr.4360020404 QMRO: qmroHref Bache RM, Neil M (1990). Validating Technologies for Certifying Software Products. nameOfConference DOI: doi QMRO: qmroHref