School of Politics and International Relations

Will Boris Johnson’s bluster over a no-deal Brexit collide with reality?

11 July 2019

Boris Johnson fears a grisly political fate awaits him if he becomes Britain’s prime minister and breaks his promise to take the country out of the EU on October 31. But many of the Conservative members and MPs to whom Mr Johnson could soon owe his job believe the warnings of chaos are overdone and expect the new prime minister to deliver Brexit on time. A study led by Tim Bale of Queen Mary University of London found that 76 per cent of Tory activists thought warnings about a no-deal exit were “exaggerated or invented”. Mr Johnson seems to agree, telling a televised leadership debate on Tuesday that the costs of no deal would be “vanishingly inexpensive if you prepare.”
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