Module Convenor: Prof Francis Breedon
The process of financial globalisation has emphasised the importance of international capital flows for the understanding of exchange rate dynamic behaviour. For this purpose, the emphasis of the module will be on models for exchange rate determination which is an area of central importance to major financial institutions. The module will focus specifically on (purchasing power and interest rate) parity relationships, the use of the forward rate as an optimal predictor of the spot nominal exchange rate; the asset price view of exchange rate (using either flexible or sticky prices) with financial assets as perfect substitutes; the international CAPM and the (first generation) models of currency crises. Particular attention will be paid to the implementation of the Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) as an econometric methodology to test some of the theoretical models.
Assessment: 80.0% Examination, 20.0% Coursework