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Centre for European Research

Swinson's Article 50 pledge flirts with disaster – but it could end up grabbing ‘revenge votes’ for the Lib Dems

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Professor Tim Bale wrote an opinion piece in The Independent on the Lib Dems’ decision to declare that they will be revoking Article 50 if they win a majority at the next general election. ‘Clearly this policy has a lot going for it, but it also comes with dangerous downsides. Revoke is essentially a heat-seeking missile aimed at die-hard Remain voters in the constituencies, most of them Tory, that the Lib Dems have a pretty good chance of winning. If we do leave, not everyone will be chuffed to bits or simply heaving a sigh of relief. For those who aren’t, they will be angry – really angry – and they won’t be much less angry with Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party than with Boris Johnson and the Tories. At that point, “revenge voting” could become a thing – and perhaps a very big thing for Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats.’
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